Few weeks back we read news that RBI has decided to swap
India’s gold for gold in London with bank of England. RBI says that it has
some(we don’t know how much) pre-1947 era gold that is supposedly “impure”. So,
they will sell that in Indian market where there is a great demand for gold.
This also helps our current account deficit position since gold is imported
into India. Then, RBI with it’s dollar reserves will buy gold abroad and store
it in London with bank of England. So
this new gold will not be in India and we will not get our hands on it.
Does anyone really believe that there is some pre-1947 era
gold with RBI that is “impure”? How is it that nobody found out that these are
impure until now? This basically means that RBI will sell physical gold and get
paper contracts to ownership of gold in London.
This doesn’t sound like a good idea to me not to mention the
hard to believe the “impure” gold story. If we have a war with someone in
future and the West including UK oppose us, do you think Bank of England will
let us use our gold?
We already saw that Germany’s Bundesbank wanted 300 tons of
it’s gold bank of New York Fed and they said it will take 7 years. They only
got 5 tons or so in 1 year. At that rate it may take 60 years. Does anyone
really believe that these central banks in New York and London really are good
custodians of our gold? It is probably
realistic to believe that they have sold others gold for which they are
custodian. But somehow, RBI and Raghuram Rajan still believe it is better to
sell our physical gold and get some paper contracts from London.
We would expect Govt. of India to do something about this
but knowing politicians as they are, it is likely that they simply don’t care.
Could it be that other central bankers and BIS(Bank of International
Settlements) told Rajan to sell gold to satisfy domestic demand than let
imports happen from tight world market? I don’t know.
Is it possible that in a time of severe financial crisis,
Govt. will make it illegal for Indian citizens to hold 24ct gold coins/bars and
confiscate them or force them to sell in bank for cash? We had a gold control
act from 1960s until 1998 I think. So such a possibility is real. In such a
scenario, we will lose our financial freedom to an irresponsible Govt. and RBI
and will have no say in it. Do most Indians care about this? No. They have
better things to do, like Cricket, Saas Bahu serials, World Cup Football, etc
etc.
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